The greatest wideout of his era, Brown is an exception to the rule because maybe he brought this decline on himself. Its the trait hell use to run most of the routes hes asked to run. Brown, etc. WRs who were 29 in 2017: Antonio Brown, A.J. Thielen is hoping to rebound in 2019 after he suffered through a nagging hamstring injury last year. Running Backs Football is a game mostly dominated by young players in their 20s, but many of the top players in the league are notable exceptions. The only way to test whether this was true was to go through a large sample size of data. Speaking to Giants fans during a question-and-answer telephone session at the NFL scouting combine on Tuesday, general manager Joe Schoen said the 29-year-old receiver recently was informed of the decision. One of the biggest ones Id questioned was the timeline in which a player declined. As I do these studies annually, the average age becomes younger each season. There are a lot of things to like about his ability to stick with NFL wide receivers. 3. He surpassed 1,000 yards receiving in six of his first seven seasons. This is the list of rookies with receiving grades of 80.0 or higher on 250 or more routes over the past 10 years: Odell Beckham Jr., Keenan Allen, Michael Thomas, Mike Evans, Chris Godwin, Doug Baldwin and the two 2019 rookies A.J. He recorded 19 sacks last year. The next three seasons with Dallas were disappointing, he tore his Achilles when he was 30, and his brief comeback in 2020 with the Ravens resulted in 47 yards over six games. Tate is out of the NFL this year, so his career ended at 32. Who could have had a better argument as the next Chad Johnson or a mini-me version of Terrell Owens? When you breakdown the production 25-29 vs. 30-34 wide receivers age 30-34 still produce at just over 92% in points and PPG vs. their late 20 counterparts. He's consistently been a winner, with a career 86-41-1 regular season record and two Super Bowl appearances in eight seasons. Expect big things from McLaurin next year. Ryan was the 2016 NFL MVP and has been a consistent producer over 12 seasons. The three-time Defensive Player of the Year had four sacks in eight regular-season games last season. Youll take that as an NFL team 10 times out of 10. Jackson still wasnt a beacon of accuracy, but when you bring the dynamic ability he does as a runner, that simply doesnt matter as much. | No position has seen more growth in the past two decades than wide receiver. Ill either debunk them as something someone made up one day that everyone believed to be true, or Ill prove theyre right. Some, especially Jones and Hilton, look much worse. Are you going to stop selling wide receivers when they hit the age of 28 now? There are certain topics that come up throughout a fantasy owners life cycle that force him to question everything hes heard. @Real10jayy__ is only the 5th rookie WR in the Super Bowl era with 1,000 Rec Yards and 10 Rec TD. After removing the players with less than 50 targets, were left with a total of 1,168 individual seasons, more than enough for a conclusion. Average playing career length in the National Football League (in years). Slayton has four games of 20 or more fantasy points in his young career. Whether it is dynasty or redraft understanding when the cliff typically comes for a fantasy asset is key to staying ahead of the game. Which other receivers might join them on a list based on 2021 value? ), surely you have noticed what Ive noticed. Players who are getting close to that mark: Julio Jones (31) and T.Y. Today, well talk about the wide receiver position. After earning grades of 81.9 in 2017 and 80.4 in 2018, Godwin took his game one step further this past season, breaching the elite at the position. His most recent game with 90 or more yards was October 13, 2019. Catching a TD with Larry Fitzgerald in EVERY Madden!https://t.co/kEUMoP37dL pic.twitter.com/Kbc9h0Jqo5. It gets really ugly after that, though, as just 4-of-68 wide receivers who played at age-33 and beyond have finished as a top-12 option. A normal, human Cardinals fan would have said the same about DeAndre Hopkins after he had 1,407 yards last year. Hayward has become one of the game's most consistent cornerbacks since joining the Chargers in 2016. Bosa did things as a rookie that we havent seen since the PFF era began in 2006. Players who are age-32 and beyond this season are: Julio Jones (32), T.Y. Again, the game we play doesnt care about whether or not a player is in his prime physical shape, because if it doesnt equal fantasy points, it doesnt matter to you, the fantasy player. TL;DR: This article explores at which ages NFL wide receivers have their most productive seasons. This steep drop-off is no surprise, but it does influence the total number of age 30+ wide receivers who hit 100 targets in a season. He's made five Pro Bowls and been an All-Pro twice, with four consecutive 1,000 yard seasons. Superflex Dynasty Rookie Draft Rankings (2023 Fantasy Football), Fantasy Football Rankings: Dynasty Trade Value Chart (March 2023 Update), Video: Fantasy Football Running Back Rankings (2023), NFL Free Agency Rumors & News: Derek Carr, Leonard Fournette (2023 Fantasy Football), Early Draft Sleepers to Target (2023 Fantasy Football), Trending Up & Trending Down (2023 Fantasy Football), No, I'm a California resident looking for the California Consumer Privacy Act form. Green, Golden Tate, Doug Baldwin, Dez Bryant. His accomplished career includes two MVPs, one Super Bowl and eight Pro Bowls. If there was ever a receiver in the last three years who you would expect to potentially meet the Randy Moss, Jerry Rice line, its Julio Jones. Mahomes is among the five best quarterbacks in the NFL in negatively graded throw rate since 2018. In dynasty, you should be playing with a three-year window in mind, and if this chart highlights anything, its that hell have another three years of top-24 production. . For 225 PPR fantasy points per year (roughly top-24 production), the average age was 27 with 80% of peak seasons falling within the age range of 23-30. Tyler Lockett, Seattle Seahawks. From age 23-29, he averaged 135 targets, 79 receptions, and 1,173 yards per season. Is there a player falling down draft boards due to his age and perceived drop-off? See our ethics statement. I cant tell you how many times Ive heard wide receivers start to decline around the 28-year-old mark, and many in the dynasty industry think you should consider selling before the cliff. Mike Tagliere is a featured writer at FantasyPros. But maybe the next generation of 30+ receivers was just starting to come into their own in 2017. For the 2021 NFL season, several position groups namely wide receivers, tight ends, running backs are getting fresh number brackets, meaning number options for an individual player have. The gregarious Kelce has established himself as one of the elite tight ends in football over seven seasons. Who else then? You don't currently have any notifications, Dont give up on Julio Jones just yet, dynasty managers. Do Not Sell My Personal Information. Meanwhile, a new breed of defender the Jamal Adamses and Derwin Jameses of the world wears multiple hats and does it all at a high level. All three players can beat you deep, take a. As for those contributions on the ground, Jackson has no peers at the quarterback position. In his first season with New England, Bourne caught 55 passes for 800 yards and five touchdowns in 17 games. There are sure to be outliers, but again, do not unload wide receivers who are 28- or 29-year-old studs. Hilton (31). In 2000, six of the eighteen 1,000-yard receivers were at least 30, including 34-year-old Tim Brown and 35-year-old Cris Carter. He had a league-leading 159 tackles last year and is entering his age 30 season. His one-handed catch against the Cowboys was arguably one of the top-five plays of the decade and even if he didnt invent the technique, he popularized outstanding grabs and suddenly the magic of the position grew by leaps and bounds in the seasons since. Those five players were between 726 and 967 yards. Probably by a lot. We saw Browns after-the-catch ability in the Ole Miss offense, and that translated immediately to the NFL level. Terms at draftkings.com/sportsbook. Kevin Cummings, San Jose State, Wide Receivers Coach (29): Few position groups have seen more growth over the last few seasons than San Jose State's wide receivers. He finished last year with 4,466 yards passing and 26 touchdowns at age 34. Meanwhile once they hit 30 instead of a steep decline, we find a slight drop in fantasy production, but it quickly stabilizes similarly to wide receivers in their late 20s. 6 years later, we're still trying to figure out HOW @obj made this catch. Read about the running backs here Its easy to forget that wide receivers take time to develop after watching guys like A.J. And that is what has made him the most valuable player in the NFL over the last two seasons by nearly a full, Moore hasnt had the best of quarterback circumstances, given that he's had to deal with an injured, duo for much of 2019, but hes been able to produce despite those limitations, putting up a receiving grade over 80.0 across his first two NFL seasons. Then something interesting happened in 2017: the number of 1,000-yard wideouts dropped from 23 to 13. Please also read our Privacy Notice and Terms of Use, which became effective December 20, 2019. At age 30, David's play hasn't dropped off yet. Brown quickly showed he was already one of the better receivers in the league in that regard as a rookie in 2019. Sources: Razzball.com, Pro Football Focus, Pro Football Reference, Football Outsiders and FFToday.com, Adam Thielen, Amari Cooper, Antonio Brown, Cole Beasley, Emmanuel Sanders, John Brown, Julio Jones, Marvin Jones Jr., T.Y. When will Rams pick center of the future? Youngs mention here was earned here by just how dominant of a prospect he was hes the best edge defender prospect that PFF has scouted since 2014. Humphrey has been a playmaker regardless of where he has lined up, notching 47 forced incompletions over the last three seasons (fourth in the NFL behind Stephon Gilmore, Darius Slay and Kyle Fuller). You can drop this number down from 1,000 yards to 800 yards and it really will not make much of a difference. This doesnt look anything like the running back chart. It wouldve been hard to draw up a better debut for the Ohio State product. Green (33), and Emmanuel Sanders (34). After one year in LA, Wagner is looking for his third team in three years, Jalen Carter news shakes NFL Draft plans for all 32 teams, Carter is wanted in connection with a deadly crash in Georgia. The years sampled were 2011-2020 for the wide receiver position only. Depending on what you want/need out of them, they really dont decline until theyre 33 years old. Only five years ago, 26-percent of 1,000-yard receivers were at least 30 years old. He was traded to the Titans for basically a second round pick and here are his numbers with Tennessee: nine games, 26 receptions, 376 yards, 0 TD. * 21+ (19+ CA-ONT) (18+ NH/WY). Hes been particularly adept pushing the ball down the field, with top-five marks in passing grade and yards per attempt (14.6) on passes thrown 20 or more yards downfield over the last two years. Even Stafford saw it happen when he played with perhaps the most respected wide receiver of the century. Being able to produce with the ball in your hands matters. And T.Y ill prove theyre right in EVERY Madden! https: //t.co/kEUMoP37dL pic.twitter.com/Kbc9h0Jqo5 are close! True was to go through a nagging hamstring injury last year catching a TD with Fitzgerald. Are a lot of things to like about his ability to stick with NFL wide receivers debut for wide! 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You do n't currently have any notifications, Dont give up on Julio Jones just yet, managers!, or ill prove theyre right eight Pro Bowls and been an All-Pro,. Which ages NFL wide receivers have their most productive seasons NFL team 10 times of! 79 receptions, and Emmanuel Sanders ( 34 ) to 13 them, they really decline. With four consecutive 1,000 yard seasons Ive noticed all three players can beat you deep, take a League that!, Jackson has No peers at the quarterback position sure to be outliers, but again, not... But maybe the next generation of 30+ receivers was just starting to come into their own in 2017: number. Sampled were 2011-2020 for the wide receiver receivers when they hit the age of 28 now drop number! And beyond this season are: Julio Jones just yet, dynasty managers most respected receiver! Made this catch, dynasty managers Ive noticed surely you have noticed what Ive noticed has established himself as of. 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